@misc{Kazanecka_Aneta_Military_2019,
 author={Kazanecka, Aneta and Dziurny, Anna and Hacaga, Maciej and Kazanecki, Wojciech},
 copyright={Komitet Prognoz „Polska 2000 Plus” przy Prezydium PAN},
 journal={Czy świat należy urządzić inaczej. Schyłek i początek},
 pages={72-95},
 howpublished={online},
 year={2019},
 publisher={Warszawa: Komitet Prognoz „Polska 2000 Plus” przy Prezydium PAN,},
 language={361 ss.},
 abstract={This article is an update of 2016 forecast of military and political security in 2025- and 2050-time horizons. The first part is focused on the identifi cation threats for military and political security, through subject literature review as well as forecasts & analyses of recognized individual researchers and institutions, including World Economic Forum, the National Intelligence Council, and US military forces. The following section is devoted to the presentation of research method used in this paper, referring to existing approaches in the research domain. Subsequently, results of the research are presented, including updated extracts of four mini scenarios adopted: (1) use of ABC weapons by terrorist organizations, (2) struggle for resources, (3) economic inequalities, (4) series of conflicts on the borders. Against this background the fi nal scenario was revised. In conclusion some recommendations and final remarks were made.},
 title={Military and political security in the world until 2050 in terms of warning and catastrophic forecasts: the 2019 perspective},
 URL={http://publikacje.pan.pl/Content/116674/PDF-MASTER/7Kazanecka,Dziurny,Hacaga,Kazanecki.pdf},
 keywords={nightmare scenario, military security, threats, security, pessimistic forecasts},
}